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Vo: turning bullish us mid-caps - better valuations, bullish seasonals
Stocks outside the US megacap Magnificent Seven have negative alpha this year. US mid-caps have historically provided the best long-term returns. The ...
October 31, 2023, 3:04 pm
I've just spotted the first 'santa rally' post of the season
Via a Deutsche Bank note on Friday saying, in brief:We close out a difficult week with Amazon’s earnings from last night setting a more positive ton...
October 30, 2023, 12:03 am
October forex seasonals: no help for bonds but the mood tends to improve
Before we get into October, let's take a look back at how the seasonals did in September. At the end of...
October 1, 2023, 2:45 pm
Today is almost exactly one year from the interim bottom in us equities -- lessons learned
If you're a trader who only believes in seasonals then today is the day to buy stocks. There's a dip an...
September 29, 2023, 5:57 pm
The s&p 500 has followed the seasonal patterns so far in 2023, so what about q4?
We're closing out September with poor returns for equity markets. That shouldn't have been a big surprise if you follow the ...
September 26, 2023, 5:44 pm
Vxus: the dollar's rally hurts ex-usa stocks, bullish seasonals on deck
The US Dollar Index has risen for eight consecutive weeks, putting pressure on foreign stocks and causing them to underperform domestic stocks. The Va...
September 11, 2023, 4:44 pm
September seasonals highlight a painful backdrop for stock markets
August isn't over yet but looking back at the August seasonal trends post, this month has gone almost exactly to script. At the start of the month, I ...
August 28, 2023, 6:49 pm
Biv: concerning price action, bearish seasonals offset a 2.5% real yield
Traders are pricing in a 1-in-3 chance of a quarter-point rate increase by the November Federal Reserve meeting. Q3 GDP growth is tracking at over 5%,...
August 18, 2023, 1:09 pm
Equities move lower in european trading
Eurostoxx -1.0%Germany DAX -1.0%France CAC 40 -1.0%UK FTSE -0.6%Spain IBEX -1.0%Italy FTSE MIB -1.2%It's not a good look for European indices either a...
August 1, 2023, 9:56 am
August seasonal trade trends
In late-June I highlighted that seasonals for stock markets were strong for July and that's exactly wha...
July 31, 2023, 6:55 pm
Icymi: what do the seasonals propose for april trading?
In case you missed it, you can check out Adam's post here:
- ...
March 31, 2023, 7:51 am
April forex seasonals: plenty to like, plenty to trade
The new month begins on Monday and we may already be signs of what's to come. There are strong seasonal trends in April with a great backdrop for r...
March 30, 2023, 7:12 pm
The dollar dips as powell signals that march is still data dependent
The USD has dipped after the Fed chair started his testimony saying that March is still dependent on data (i.e. the employment and CPI data to come...
March 8, 2023, 3:34 pm
March forex seasonals: what do the seasonals signal?
We're at the dawn of another month in the forex market and that's worth a look at the seasonal patterns.
Recapping February, it was another ...
February 28, 2023, 8:37 pm
Gold is set for the highest weekly close since april, what's next
The gold bulls are certainly having a moment.
At the start of December, as I always do, I ...
January 13, 2023, 7:53 pm
